METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Middleweight
VS
35%
Lombard
65%
Palhares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:38
★ Official Result
Hector LombardwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:38
def. Rousimar Palhares · UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Palhares
→
Actual result
Lombard wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Palhares holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Lombard has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Lombard's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Palhares has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LombardPalhares
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Lombard
Palhares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
48
Age
+46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lombard
Palhares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
21.7
39.9
Performance Avg
54.0
48
Quality of Victory
46
0
Momentum Score
100
Lombard
Palhares
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.2
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
7.3
3.2
Style: Volume
3.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
1
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance6
2Clinch0
7Ground0
Lombard
Palhares
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
7.5
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lombard
Palhares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/44 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Lombard
Palhares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Lombard
Palhares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
6
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lombard
Palhares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
LombardPalhares
Strike Zones
Lombard
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPalhares
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lombard targets the head (96% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Palhares targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lombard
RND
Palhares
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Lombard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesDecision
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L · KO · R3
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HendersonKO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Palhares · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioSubmission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerDecision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08