UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Middleweight
VS
35%
Lombard
65%
Palhares
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Palhares
Palhares holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Lombard has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lombard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lombard's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Palhares has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lombard
Palhares
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
71"
Reach
71"
48
Age
+46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lombard
Palhares
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.7
21.7
39.9
Performance Avg
54.0
48
Quality of Victory
46
0
Momentum Score
100
Lombard
Palhares
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
47%
7.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
1
Body
2
0
Leg
4
RangeRange
15Distance6
2Clinch0
7Ground0
Lombard
Palhares
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.6
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lombard
Palhares
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
32
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/44 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Lombard
Palhares
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
6-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Lombard
Palhares
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
6
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lombard
Palhares
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.5
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
LombardPalhares
Strike Zones
Lombard
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedPalhares
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lombard targets the head (96% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 96% of strikes there
🎯Palhares targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lombard
RND
Palhares
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Lombard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Palhares · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Lombard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB DollawayRating 4UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HendersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
Palhares · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08