UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva
Cincinnati, USA
10 May 2014
Featherweight
VS
49%
Gamburyan
51%
Lentz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MG
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15 – 10
5'5"67" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
NL
Nik Lentz
"The Carny"
30 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 16

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lentz

This is a genuine toss-up — Gamburyan at 49% vs Lentz at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lentz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gamburyan's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lentz has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gamburyan
Lentz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
45
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gamburyan
Lentz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
16.0
40.4
Performance Avg
45.3
39
Quality of Victory
35
63
Momentum Score
53
Gamburyan
Lentz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
37%
Strike Accuracy
44%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
2
Body
3
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance7
11Clinch5
0Ground1
Gamburyan
Lentz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gamburyan
Lentz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
25/42 fights
Gamburyan
Lentz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Gamburyan
Lentz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
36%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gamburyan
Lentz
Striking0.9 / 3.4Volume4.9 / 6.4Grappling5.2 / 2.7Wrestling3.6 / 1.9Submission5.0 / 1.4Pressure4.8 / 4.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.4
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.3
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
Gamburyan
Strike Zones
Lentz
Gamburyan
Attacking
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Lentz
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD2BODY1LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (79% of attacks) — Lentz absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Lentz targets the head (62% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 62% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gamburyan
RND
Lentz
0/0R00/0

Gamburyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W1.5L2.8L2007-062009-012013-082016-042016-11
WinLossTrend

Lentz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W5.5L4.8L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.4L4.5W5.2W7.5L5.2W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.2L6.9L6.8L2009-092012-012015-052018-102021-01
WinLossTrend

Gamburyan · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

Lentz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor · 2021-01
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Scott HoltzmanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · KO · R2
Gray MaynardRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

News & Media

Manvel Gamburyan · Nik Lentz
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