UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues
Las Vegas, USA
15 Feb 2025
Featherweight
VS
45%
Kattar
55%
Zalal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Calvin
Calvin Kattar
23 – 10
5'11"72" reachOrthodox38 yrs5-fight slideStriker
CFR 44
Youssef
Youssef Zalal
"The Moroccan Devil"
18 – 6
Well-Rounded29 yrsSwitch72" reach5'10"
CFR 55

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Zalal

This is a genuine toss-up — Kattar at 45% vs Zalal at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Kattar throws more volume but Zalal connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Kattar's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Kattar
Zalal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
72"
Reach
72"
38
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Kattar
Zalal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
55.2
44.4
Performance Avg
49.7
43
Quality of Victory
38
33
Momentum Score
66
Kattar
Zalal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.2
42%
Strike Accuracy
51%
6.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
17
2
Body
1
3
Leg
3
RangeRange
17Distance21
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Kattar
Zalal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kattar
Zalal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
92
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
13/24 fights
Kattar
Zalal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
66
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Kattar
Zalal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
4
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kattar
Zalal
Striking6.7 / 1.3Volume4.4 / 5.3Grappling1.0 / 5.2Wrestling0.7 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure5.4 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Kattar
Strike Zones
Zalal
Kattar
Attacking
15HEAD2BODY3LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD1BODY3LEGS21 absorbed
Zalal
Attacking
17HEAD1BODY3LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD2BODY3LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kattar targets the head (75% of attacks) — Zalal absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Zalal targets the head (81% of attacks) — Kattar absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kattar
RND
Zalal
0/0R00/0

Kattar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.8W5.2W6.6L5.5W5.6L3.5L6.5L6.5L7.4L2017-072019-062021-012024-042025-07
WinLossTrend

Zalal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0104.5W4.5W4.5W7.9L5.7L6.6L6.4W5.0W6.0W5.0W5.1W6.5L2020-022020-102024-032025-022026-04
WinLossTrend

Kattar · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 7.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Arnold AllenRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06

Zalal · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Sub · R1
Josh EmmettRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Calvin KattarRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Jack ShoreRating 6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Jarno ErrensRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Calvin Kattar · Youssef Zalal
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