METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Lightweight
VS
47%
Hooper
53%
Jr.
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:56
★ Official Result
Lance Gibson Jr.winsKO/TKOR1 · 2:56
def. Chase Hooper · UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jr.
→
Actual result
Jr. wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hooper at 47% vs Jr. at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jr. has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HooperJr.
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hooper
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
26+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Hooper
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
63.5
53.5
Performance Avg
56.0
46
Quality of Victory
60
72
Momentum Score
59
Hooper
Jr.
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
7.4
Style: Pressure
8.5
3.1
Style: Volume
1.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
5
Body
2
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance7
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Hooper
Jr.
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hooper
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Hooper
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
59
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hooper
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
5
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hooper
Jr.
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
HooperJr.
Strike Zones
Hooper
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedJr.
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the body (45% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the head (46% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hooper
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hooper · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Mitch RamirezSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
Jr. · Last 2
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
King GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12