UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer
Seattle, USA
28 Mar 2026
Lightweight
VS
44%
Hooper
56%
Jr.
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jr.
This is a genuine toss-up — Hooper at 44% vs Jr. at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Jr. has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Hooper throws more volume but Jr. connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hooper's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hooper
Jr.
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
26+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Hooper
Jr.
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
63.5
51.8
Performance Avg
56.0
45
Quality of Victory
60
51
Momentum Score
59
Hooper
Jr.
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.0
45%
Strike Accuracy
53%
3.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
6
5
Body
2
3
Leg
5
RangeRange
11Distance7
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Hooper
Jr.
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hooper
Jr.
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/12 fights
Hooper
Jr.
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
59
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Hooper
Jr.
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hooper
Jr.
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
3.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
HooperJr.
Strike Zones
Hooper
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedJr.
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hooper targets the body (45% of attacks) — Jr. absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Jr. targets the head (46% of attacks) — Hooper absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hooper
RND
Jr.
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hooper · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Jr. · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Hooper · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Alexander HernandezRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Jim MillerRating 4.9Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Clay GuidaRating 5.5Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R2
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
Jr. · Last 2
W · KO · R1
Chase HooperRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12