UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson
Ottawa, Canada
18 Jun 2016
Middleweight
VS
39%
McCrory
61%
Jotko
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:59
TM
Tamdan McCrory
"The Barncat"
14 – 5
6'4"76" reachSwitch39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
KJ
Krzysztof Jotko
24 – 6
Well-Rounded36 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 23

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jotko

Jotko holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but McCrory has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McCrory has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

McCrory has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

McCrory's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jotko has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.

McCrory
Jotko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
McCrory
Jotko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.3
22.7
44.7
Performance Avg
42.8
45
Quality of Victory
28
20
Momentum Score
60
McCrory
Jotko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground2
McCrory
Jotko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
3.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McCrory
Jotko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
28
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/19 fights
Chin rating based on
17/30 fights
McCrory
Jotko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
60
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
McCrory
Jotko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
9%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McCrory
Jotko
Striking3.4 / 2.2Volume2.9 / 8.6Grappling4.6 / 2.2Wrestling3.2 / 1.5Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 2.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
3.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.6
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
McCrory
Strike Zones
Jotko
McCrory
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Jotko
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McCrory targets the head (50% of attacks) — Jotko absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Jotko targets the head (100% of attacks) — McCrory absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McCrory
RND
Jotko
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

McCrory · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0105.2W2.8L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L5.5W1.5L2.8L2007-062008-112015-122016-10
WinLossTrend

Jotko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.0L4.5W4.5W5.3W6.6L4.5W5.6W2.8L2013-122016-062019-042022-042022-10
WinLossTrend

McCrory · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · KO · R1
Krzysztof JotkoRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
W · Sub · R3
Josh SammanRating 5.5
Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
John HowardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 101: Declaration · 2009-08
W · KO · R1
Ryan MadiganRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03

Jotko · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Brendan AllenRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Gerald MeerschaertRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Misha CirkunovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Sean StricklandRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Prochazka · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

News & Media

Tamdan McCrory · Krzysztof Jotko
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