METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Evans
57%
Ortiz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:48
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:48
def. Tito Ortiz · UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortiz
→
Actual result
Evans wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 43% vs Ortiz at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Ortiz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ortiz has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansOrtiz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
74"
46+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
20.4
53.1
Performance Avg
57.3
46
Quality of Victory
57
25
Momentum Score
85
Evans
Ortiz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.0
42%
Strike Accuracy
51%
5.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
6 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
23Ground0
Evans
Ortiz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
27/31 fights
Evans
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
85
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Evans
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Ortiz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
EvansOrtiz
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedOrtiz
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (92% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0
Evans · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Ortiz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderRating 5.5Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5Decision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderRating 5Submission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10