METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Evans
57%
Ortiz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:48
★ Official Result
Rashad EvanswinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:48
def. Tito Ortiz · UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortiz
→
Actual result
Evans wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Evans at 43% vs Ortiz at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Ortiz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Evans's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ortiz has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EvansOrtiz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Evans
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"+
Reach
74"
46+
Age
51
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Evans
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.3
20.4
53.1
Performance Avg
57.3
46
Quality of Victory
57
25
Momentum Score
85
Evans
Ortiz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.6
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
5.9
5.8
Style: Volume
3.8
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
0
2
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
23Ground0
Evans
Ortiz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Evans
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.4 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/27 fights
Chin rating based on
27/31 fights
Evans
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
85
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Evans
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
60%
6
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Evans
Ortiz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.8
EvansOrtiz
Strike Zones
Evans
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedOrtiz
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Evans targets the head (92% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Evans
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0
Evans · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Anthony SmithKO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Dec · R3
Daniel KellyDecision
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
L · KO · R1
Glover TeixeiraKO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Ryan BaderDecision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinDecision
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2 · 2012-07
L · KO · R1
Rogerio NogueiraKO/TKO
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · KO · R2
Rashad EvansKO/TKO
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2 · 2011-08
W · Sub · R1
Ryan BaderSubmission
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillDecision
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez · 2010-10