UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
Oberhausen, Germany
13 Nov 2010
Welterweight
VS
33%
Ludwig
67%
Osipczak
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Osipczak
Osipczak holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Ludwig has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Osipczak has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Striking split: Ludwig throws more volume but Osipczak connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Ludwig's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ludwig
Osipczak
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
70"
Reach
+76"
47
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ludwig
Osipczak
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.1
20.1
38.0
Performance Avg
47.2
34
Quality of Victory
52
10
Momentum Score
59
Ludwig
Osipczak
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
1.2
39%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
8
21
Body
3
6
Leg
5
RangeRange
37Distance15
16Clinch1
0Ground0
Ludwig
Osipczak
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ludwig
Osipczak
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
94
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
5/9 fights
Ludwig
Osipczak
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
59
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
Ludwig
Osipczak
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ludwig
Osipczak
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.8
LudwigOsipczak
Strike Zones
Ludwig
Attacking
53 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedOsipczak
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
53 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ludwig targets the head (49% of attacks) — Osipczak absorbs 49% of strikes there
🎯Osipczak targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ludwig absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ludwig
RND
Osipczak
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Ludwig · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Osipczak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Ludwig · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Che MillsRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R1
Dan HardyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Sub · R1
Josh NeerRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Amir SadollahRating 4.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · Dec · R3
Nick OsipczakRating 4.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
Osipczak · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Duane LudwigRating 5.5Decision
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Dec · R3
Greg SotoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5Decision
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
W · KO · R3
Matthew RiddleRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 105: Couture vs Vera · 2009-11
W · Sub · R1
Frank LesterRating 5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale · 2009-06