UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor
Las Vegas, USA
6 Oct 2018
Welterweight
VS
46%
LaFlare
54%
Martin
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Martin
This is a genuine toss-up — LaFlare at 46% vs Martin at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Martin has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
LaFlare has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
LaFlare's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Martin has a chin rating of 68 — a potential KO vulnerability.
LaFlare
Martin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"+
Reach
73"
42
Age
+36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
LaFlare
Martin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
17.5
43.0
Performance Avg
45.3
25
Quality of Victory
35
60
Momentum Score
65
LaFlare
Martin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
37%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
9
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground5
LaFlare
Martin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
LaFlare
Martin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
68
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/17 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
LaFlare
Martin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
65
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
LaFlare
Martin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
44%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
3
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
LaFlare
Martin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
2.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
9.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
LaFlareMartin
Strike Zones
LaFlare
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedMartin
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯LaFlare targets the body (67% of attacks) — Martin absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Martin targets the head (100% of attacks) — LaFlare absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
LaFlare
RND
Martin
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
LaFlare · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Martin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
LaFlare · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
W · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
L · KO · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Weidman vs. Gastelum · 2017-07
W · Dec · R3
Roan CarneiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC 208: Holm vs. De Randamie · 2017-02
W · Dec · R3
Mike PierceRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
Martin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
L · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Sergio MoraesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12