UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen
Kansas City, USA
15 Apr 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
54%
Robertson
46%
Rodriguez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
This is a genuine toss-up — Robertson at 54% vs Rodriguez at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Striking split: Rodriguez throws more volume but Robertson connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Robertson's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Robertson
Rodriguez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'3"
63"
Reach
63"
31+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Robertson
Rodriguez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.1
50.4
55.0
Performance Avg
43.6
45
Quality of Victory
25
74
Momentum Score
85
Robertson
Rodriguez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
1.4
52%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
12Ground0
Robertson
Rodriguez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Robertson
Rodriguez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
14 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/25 fights
Chin rating based on
7/14 fights
Robertson
Rodriguez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
85
5-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R2
Robertson
Rodriguez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
71%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Robertson
Rodriguez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.4
4.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.1
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.4
RobertsonRodriguez
Strike Zones
Robertson
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedRodriguez
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Robertson targets the head (92% of attacks) — Rodriguez absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Robertson
RND
Rodriguez
0/0R00/0
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Rodriguez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Rodriguez · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Sam HughesRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Ketlen SouzaRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Josefine KnutssonRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · R2
Ariane CarnelossiRating 5.7UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · Sub · R2
Gillian RobertsonRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04