UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy
Las Vegas, USA
18 May 2024
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Sy
47%
Tokkos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:43
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sy
This is a genuine toss-up — Sy at 53% vs Tokkos at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Sy
Tokkos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
6'4"
83"+
Reach
76"
30+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Sy
Tokkos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.8
49.2
51.8
Performance Avg
39.7
46
Quality of Victory
50
56
Momentum Score
43
Sy
Tokkos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
0Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Sy
Tokkos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
2.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sy
Tokkos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
4/17 fights
Sy
Tokkos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
43
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Sy
Tokkos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sy
Tokkos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
2.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
SyTokkos
Strike Zones
Sy
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTokkos
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Tokkos targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Sy absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sy
RND
Tokkos
0/0R00/0
Sy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Tokkos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Sy · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8Submission
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Brendson RibeiroRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · Sub · R1
Tuco TokkosRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
Tokkos · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Navajo StirlingRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05

