UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
Miami, USA
9 Mar 2024
Welterweight
VS
38%
Burns
62%
Maddalena
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:43
Gilbert
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
22 – 10
5'10"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
JD
Jack Della Maddalena
18 – 4
Striker2-fight slide29 yrsSwitch73" reach5'11"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maddalena

Maddalena holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Burns has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Maddalena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Burns's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burns
Maddalena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
39
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Burns
Maddalena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.8
64.0
48.1
Performance Avg
59.9
40
Quality of Victory
46
28
Momentum Score
80
Burns
Maddalena
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.3
49%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.6
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
26
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground16
Burns
Maddalena
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burns
Maddalena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/32 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Burns
Maddalena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
80
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Burns
Maddalena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
63%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
5
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Burns
Maddalena
Striking3.2 / 6.6Volume4.9 / 4.6Grappling3.8 / 1.9Wrestling2.6 / 1.3Submission3.3 / 1.3Pressure5.5 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Burns
Strike Zones
Maddalena
Burns
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD1BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Maddalena
Attacking
26HEAD1BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maddalena targets the head (93% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Burns
RND
Maddalena
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Burns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.2W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W2.4L4.5W6.4W4.5W5.6W5.0W4.5W3.9L5.1W7.4L5.6W4.5W6.6L5.5L6.6L3.6L4.5L2014-072018-042020-052024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Maddalena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.7W5.0W5.0W5.9W4.5W5.1W5.7W5.6W7.5L5.0L2022-012023-022024-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Burns · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Maddalena · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

News & Media

Gilbert Burns · Jack Della Maddalena
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