UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez
Las Vegas, USA
9 Aug 2025
Middleweight
VS
50%
Dolidze
50%
Hernandez
Win Probability
Submission
Round 4 · 2:45
Roman
Roman Dolidze
15 – 5
6'2"76" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideStriker
CFR 63
AH
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
15 – 3
Pressure Fighter32 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dolidze

This is a genuine toss-up — Dolidze at 50% vs Hernandez at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Dolidze throws more volume but Hernandez connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Hernandez has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dolidze
Hernandez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
75"
37
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dolidze
Hernandez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
63.3
63.7
52.0
Performance Avg
56.2
44
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
98
Dolidze
Hernandez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
47%
Strike Accuracy
66%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
7
0
Body
1
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
2Distance5
0Clinch3
0Ground2
Dolidze
Hernandez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.0
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dolidze
Hernandez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
44
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/18 fights
Dolidze
Hernandez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R5
W · Sub · R2
Dolidze
Hernandez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
78%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dolidze
Hernandez
Striking6.8 / 3.7Volume4.8 / 3.3Grappling1.1 / 5.0Wrestling0.8 / 3.5Submission0.0 / 5.6Pressure5.8 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.6
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Dolidze
Strike Zones
Hernandez
Dolidze
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 absorbed
Hernandez
Attacking
7HEAD1BODY2LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dolidze targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hernandez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hernandez targets the head (70% of attacks) — Dolidze absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dolidze
RND
Hernandez
0/0R00/0

Dolidze · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.0W4.5W5.7L4.5W5.6W5.0W6.2W6.3L6.9L5.7W5.6W5.3W4.8L7.0L2020-072022-062024-022025-082026-03
WinLossTrend

Hernandez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0102.8L6.3W2.1L6.5W4.5W5.5W6.9W6.2W6.1W5.8W6.8W3.9L2019-022021-022023-052025-022026-02
WinLossTrend

Dolidze · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Sub · R4
Anthony HernandezRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

Hernandez · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Sean StricklandRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
W · Sub · R4
Roman DolidzeRating 6.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Hernandez · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · KO · R5
Michel PereiraRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R2
Roman KopylovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02

News & Media

Roman Dolidze · Anthony Hernandez
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