UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami
Saitama, Japan
22 Sept 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
55%
Saki
45%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:45
Hd
CFR 19
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Saki
This is a genuine toss-up — Saki at 55% vs Silva at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Saki has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Silva has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Saki
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+76"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Saki
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.5
18.6
56.0
Performance Avg
44.7
60
Quality of Victory
52
71
Momentum Score
65
Saki
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
9.0
2.2
58%
Strike Accuracy
56%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
35
Head
16
2
Body
4
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
39Distance12
1Clinch8
0Ground0
Saki
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.7
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Saki
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/3 fights
Chin rating based on
6/19 fights
Saki
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
65
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
Saki
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saki
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
SakiSilva
Strike Zones
Saki
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedSilva
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saki targets the head (88% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (80% of attacks) — Saki absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saki
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Saki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Saki · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · 2018-07
W · KO · R1
Henrique da SilvaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
Silva · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Gokhan SakiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Ion CutelabaRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Jordan JohnsonRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena · 2017-01
L · Sub · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5Submission
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
W · Sub · R2
Joachim ChristensenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10