UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Women's Bantamweight
VS
43%
Zingano
57%
Reneau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CZ
Cat Zingano
"Alpha"
10 – 4
5'6"68" reachSouthpaw43 yrsStriker
CFR 18
MR
Marion Reneau
"The Belizean Bruiser"
9 – 8
Well-Rounded5-fight slide48 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Reneau

This is a genuine toss-up — Zingano at 43% vs Reneau at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Reneau throws more volume but Zingano connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Zingano's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Reneau has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Zingano
Reneau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
68"
Reach
68"
43+
Age
48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Zingano
Reneau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
23.5
49.1
Performance Avg
44.1
53
Quality of Victory
46
43
Momentum Score
15
Zingano
Reneau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.3
61%
Strike Accuracy
45%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
7Ground0
Zingano
Reneau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.7
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Zingano
Reneau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
13/17 fights
Zingano
Reneau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
15
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Zingano
Reneau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
80%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zingano
Reneau
Striking7.5 / 4.8Volume3.5 / 2.4Grappling0.8 / 3.7Wrestling0.6 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 4.0Pressure6.0 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.4
Zingano
Strike Zones
Reneau
Zingano
Attacking
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Reneau
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD0BODY1LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Zingano targets the head (89% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Reneau targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Zingano absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zingano
RND
Reneau
0/0R00/0

Zingano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.4W6.7W1.5L7.0L5.9L4.5W1.5L2013-042015-022018-032018-12
WinLossTrend

Reneau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0104.5W5.8W5.6L5.5L5.5W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.6L6.1L6.8L4.9L2015-012016-022018-022020-062021-07
WinLossTrend

Zingano · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Megan AndersonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Marion ReneauRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · Dec · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7
Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
L · Sub · R1
Ronda RouseyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02

Reneau · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Miesha TateRating 4.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07

News & Media

Cat Zingano · Marion Reneau
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