METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Hidalgo, USA
17 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
63%
Poirier
37%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:35
★ Official Result
Michael JohnsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:35
def. Dustin Poirier · UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Poirier
→
Actual result
Johnson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Poirier holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Johnson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Poirier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Poirier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PoirierJohnson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Poirier
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Poirier
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
36.8
58.2
Performance Avg
42.5
50
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
35
Poirier
Johnson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
10 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
0
Body
1
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Poirier
Johnson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Poirier
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Poirier
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Poirier
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
38%
10
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Poirier
Johnson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
PoirierJohnson
Strike Zones
Poirier
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedJohnson
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (67% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Poirier
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Poirier · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Poirier · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 6Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6.3Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05