UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Johnson
Hidalgo, USA
17 Sept 2016
Lightweight
VS
63%
Poirier
37%
Johnson
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:35
Dustin
Dustin Poirier
"The Diamond"
30 – 10
5'9"72" reachSouthpaw37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
Well-Rounded39 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Poirier

Poirier holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Johnson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Poirier has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Poirier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Poirier's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Poirier
Johnson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
72"
Reach
+73"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Poirier
Johnson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
36.8
58.2
Performance Avg
42.5
50
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
35
Poirier
Johnson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
54%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
10 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
0
Body
1
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
6Distance10
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Poirier
Johnson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Poirier
Johnson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
4
4
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.3 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/40 fights
Chin rating based on
32/45 fights
Poirier
Johnson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Poirier
Johnson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
38%
10
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
8
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Poirier
Johnson
Striking6.0 / 4.8Volume4.0 / 6.0Grappling2.2 / 1.5Wrestling1.6 / 1.1Submission1.8 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 4.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.1
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Poirier
Strike Zones
Johnson
Poirier
Attacking
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY3LEGS14 absorbed
Johnson
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY3LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD0BODY2LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Poirier targets the head (67% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Johnson targets the head (71% of attacks) — Poirier absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Poirier
RND
Johnson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Poirier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W6.1W3.9L5.0W6.0L4.5W5.0W5.2W3.5L6.0W5.0W4.5W5.7W1.6L4.9W5.2W6.9W5.1W5.6W2.8L5.4W7.1W6.0W4.2L6.3W3.7L6.9W6.0L6.6L2011-012013-122017-022021-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Poirier · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 6
Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · KO · R2
Justin GaethjeRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
W · Sub · R3
Michael ChandlerRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

News & Media

Dustin Poirier · Michael Johnson
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