UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
Adelaide, Australia
1 Dec 2018
Lightweight
VS
18%
Hirota
82%
Giagos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MH
Mizuto Hirota
"Pugnus"
18 – 10
5'7"67" reachOrthodox45 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
Christos
Christos Giagos
"The Spartan"
20 – 12
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Giagos

Giagos is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Giagos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Giagos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Giagos has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hirota
Giagos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+71"
45
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hirota
Giagos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.6
38.8
21.7
Performance Avg
41.0
25
Quality of Victory
40
15
Momentum Score
64
Hirota
Giagos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
40%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
3Clinch0
3Ground0
Hirota
Giagos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.9
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hirota
Giagos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/28 fights
Chin rating based on
14/32 fights
Hirota
Giagos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
64
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Hirota
Giagos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hirota
Giagos
Striking0.3 / 2.5Volume8.3 / 4.9Grappling2.4 / 3.9Wrestling1.7 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure0.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
0.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Hirota
Strike Zones
Giagos
Hirota
Attacking
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Giagos
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD3BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hirota targets the head (57% of attacks) — Giagos absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Giagos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hirota absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hirota
RND
Giagos
0/0R00/0

Hirota · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.9L5.5L4.5W7.0L5.5L5.7L2013-032013-062016-122017-062018-022018-12
WinLossTrend

Giagos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0101.7L5.0W5.5L4.2L4.5W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.2W3.1L1.7L5.1W3.1L2.8L2014-102018-122021-052023-092024-04
WinLossTrend

Hirota · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Ross PearsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Cole MillerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: VanZant vs. Waterson · 2016-12
Upcoming
Teruto Ishihara
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barnett vs Nelson · 2015-09

Giagos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Ricky GlennRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

News & Media

Mizuto Hirota · Christos Giagos
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