UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski
Rotterdam, Netherlands
8 May 2016
Women's Bantamweight
VS
97%
Randamie
3%
Elmose
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:46
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Randamie
Randamie is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 56 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Randamie has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Striking split: Elmose throws more volume but Randamie connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Randamie
Elmose
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'3"
71"
Reach
42
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Randamie
Elmose
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.3
2.1
56.2
Performance Avg
0.0
47
Quality of Victory
0
97
Momentum Score
0
Randamie
Elmose
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.8
53%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
2
9
Body
2
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
7Distance2
11Clinch4
0Ground0
Randamie
Elmose
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Randamie
Elmose
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/5 fights
Randamie
Elmose
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
97
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Randamie
Elmose
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Randamie
Elmose
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
RandamieElmose
Strike Zones
Randamie
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedElmose
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Randamie targets the head (50% of attacks) — Elmose absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Elmose targets the head (33% of attacks) — Randamie absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Randamie
RND
Elmose
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Randamie · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Elmose · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Randamie · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · Sub · R3
Julianna PenaRating 7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12
W · KO · R1
Aspen LaddRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Randamie vs. Ladd · 2019-07
W · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
Elmose · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Amanda CooperRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
Germaine de RandamieRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
