UFC 21: Return of the Champions
Cedar Rapids, USA
16 Jul 1999
Middleweight
VS
90%
Jackson
10%
Alger
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:19
EJ
Eugene Jackson
"The Wolf"
15 – 9
5'8"Orthodox59 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 17
RA
Royce Alger
3 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight slide61 yrsOrthodox5'10"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jackson

Jackson is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jackson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 52 points.

Jackson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jackson's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Alger has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Jackson
Alger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
59+
Age
61
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Alger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
1.8
48.0
Performance Avg
0.0
52
Quality of Victory
0
26
Momentum Score
0
Jackson
Alger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
0.3
34%
Strike Accuracy
30%
7.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance0
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Jackson
Alger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Alger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/24 fights
Chin rating based on
2/5 fights
Jackson
Alger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
Jackson
Alger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jackson
Alger
Striking7.5 / 0.0Volume0.9 / 0.0Grappling2.7 / 0.0Wrestling1.9 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure8.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Jackson
Strike Zones
Alger
Jackson
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Alger
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alger absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jackson
RND
Alger
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jackson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.1
0105.2W5.5W1.5L1.5L1.5L5.2W1.5L1999-072000-042001-092002-07
WinLossTrend

Alger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.1
0101.5L2.8L1997-051999-07
WinLossTrend

Jackson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Mark WeirRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 38: Brawl at the Hall · 2002-07
W · Sub · R2
Keith RockelRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 35: Throwdown · 2002-01
L · Sub · R1
Ricardo AlmeidaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 33: Victory in Vegas · 2001-09
L · Sub · R1
Jeremy HornRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 27: Ultimate Bad Boyz · 2000-09
L · Sub · R1
Sanae KikutaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 25: Ultimate Japan 3 · 2000-04

Alger · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Eugene JacksonRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 21: Return of the Champions · 1999-07
L · Sub · R1
Enson InoueRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 13: The Ultimate Force · 1997-05

News & Media

Eugene Jackson · Royce Alger
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