METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2
Killeen, USA
22 Jan 2011
Lightweight
VS
52%
Guillard
48%
Dunham
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:58
★ Official Result
Melvin GuillardwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:58
def. Evan Dunham · UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guillard
→
Actual result
Guillard wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Guillard at 52% vs Dunham at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Guillard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Striking split: Dunham throws more volume but Guillard connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Dunham has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuillardDunham
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guillard
Dunham
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"+
Reach
70"
43+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guillard
Dunham
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
16.2
49.7
Performance Avg
40.1
45
Quality of Victory
30
73
Momentum Score
100
Guillard
Dunham
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
2.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
41%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
0
2
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance2
6Clinch0
3Ground0
Guillard
Dunham
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Dunham
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
6
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
21/27 fights
Guillard
Dunham
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
100
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Guillard
Dunham
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
18%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guillard
Dunham
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.9
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
GuillardDunham
Strike Zones
Guillard
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedDunham
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (88% of attacks) — Dunham absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Dunham targets the body (100% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guillard
RND
Dunham
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Guillard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Dunham · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Guillard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross PearsonUFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
Dunham · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Herbert BurnsRating 1.9Submission
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · KO · R2
Francisco TrinaldoRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R1
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
Upcoming
Beneil DariushDecision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
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