METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
16%
Coulter
84%
Tuivasa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:35
★ Official Result
Tai TuivasawinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:35
def. Rashad Coulter · UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Tuivasa
→
Actual result
Tuivasa wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Tuivasa is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Coulter's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tuivasa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CoulterTuivasa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Coulter
Tuivasa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Coulter
Tuivasa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.2
43.2
25.0
Performance Avg
50.4
25
Quality of Victory
54
22
Momentum Score
20
Coulter
Tuivasa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.5
/ 10
9.6
/ 10
0.8
Style: Pressure
7.5
8.5
Style: Volume
1.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
16
7
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance14
7Clinch6
0Ground2
Coulter
Tuivasa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Coulter
Tuivasa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Coulter
Tuivasa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
20
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Coulter
Tuivasa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
88%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Coulter
Tuivasa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
CoulterTuivasa
Strike Zones
Coulter
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTuivasa
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Coulter targets the body (70% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (73% of attacks) — Coulter absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Coulter
RND
Tuivasa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Coulter · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Hu YaozongDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
L · KO · R2
Chris de la RochaKO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Chase ShermanKO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Tuivasa · Last 5
Upcoming
Robelis DespaigneUFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandDecision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03