UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura
Sydney, Australia
18 Nov 2017
Heavyweight
VS
16%
Coulter
84%
Tuivasa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:35
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Tuivasa
Tuivasa is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Tuivasa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Coulter has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Coulter's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tuivasa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Coulter
Tuivasa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'2"
76"+
Reach
75"
44
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Coulter
Tuivasa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.2
43.2
25.0
Performance Avg
50.4
25
Quality of Victory
54
22
Momentum Score
20
Coulter
Tuivasa
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
1.9
58%
Strike Accuracy
55%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
9.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
16
7
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
3Distance14
7Clinch6
0Ground2
Coulter
Tuivasa
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.2
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Coulter
Tuivasa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
0
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/13 fights
Chin rating based on
18/25 fights
Coulter
Tuivasa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
22
20
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Coulter
Tuivasa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
88%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Coulter
Tuivasa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
9.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.9
CoulterTuivasa
Strike Zones
Coulter
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTuivasa
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Coulter targets the body (70% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (73% of attacks) — Coulter absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Coulter
RND
Tuivasa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Coulter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.0WinLossTrend
Tuivasa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Coulter · Last 4
W · Dec · R3
Hu YaozongRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · 2018-11
L · KO · R2
Chris de la RochaRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Tai TuivasaRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Chase ShermanRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · 2017-05
Tuivasa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09