METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Sept 2023
Welterweight
VS
42%
Holland
58%
Maddalena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jack Della MaddalenawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Kevin Holland · Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maddalena
→
Actual result
Maddalena wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 42% vs Maddalena at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandMaddalena
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Maddalena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
81"+
Reach
73"
33
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Holland
Maddalena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
64.0
49.3
Performance Avg
59.9
44
Quality of Victory
46
51
Momentum Score
80
Holland
Maddalena
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
6.6
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
6.8
3.6
Style: Volume
4.6
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
17
12
Body
8
9
Leg
5
RangeRange
37Distance27
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Holland
Maddalena
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Maddalena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Holland
Maddalena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
80
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Holland
Maddalena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
63%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Maddalena
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
HollandMaddalena
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedMaddalena
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (45% of attacks) — Maddalena absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Maddalena targets the head (57% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Maddalena
0/0R00/0
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Maddalena · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Islam MakhachevDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandDecision
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09