UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
Las Vegas, USA
16 Sept 2023
Welterweight
VS
42%
Holland
58%
Maddalena
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KH
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
6'3"81" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
JD
Jack Della Maddalena
18 – 4
Striker2-fight slide29 yrsSwitch73" reach5'11"
CFR 64

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maddalena

This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 42% vs Maddalena at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Maddalena has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holland
Maddalena
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'11"
81"+
Reach
73"
33
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Holland
Maddalena
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
64.0
49.3
Performance Avg
59.9
44
Quality of Victory
46
51
Momentum Score
80
Holland
Maddalena
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
2.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
56%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.6
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
17
12
Body
8
9
Leg
5
RangeRange
37Distance27
1Clinch3
0Ground0
Holland
Maddalena
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.8
/ 10
1.9
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
6
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Maddalena
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Holland
Maddalena
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
80
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Holland
Maddalena
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
63%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
6
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holland
Maddalena
Striking4.3 / 6.6Volume3.6 / 4.6Grappling3.8 / 1.9Wrestling2.6 / 1.3Submission3.8 / 1.3Pressure6.5 / 6.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.6
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.8
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Holland
Strike Zones
Maddalena
Holland
Attacking
17HEAD12BODY9LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD8BODY5LEGS30 absorbed
Maddalena
Attacking
17HEAD8BODY5LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD12BODY9LEGS38 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (45% of attacks) — Maddalena absorbs 45% of strikes there
🎯Maddalena targets the head (57% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holland
RND
Maddalena
0/0R00/0

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Maddalena · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.7W5.0W5.0W5.9W4.5W5.1W5.7W5.6W7.5L5.0L2022-012023-022024-032026-05
WinLossTrend

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

Maddalena · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Islam MakhachevRating 7.5
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · KO · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09

News & Media

Kevin Holland · Jack Della Maddalena
← Back to fights