METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 49: Unfinished Business
Las Vegas, USA
21 Aug 2004
Welterweight
VS
38%
Parisyan
62%
Diaz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Karo ParisyanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nick Diaz · UFC 49: Unfinished Business
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Diaz
→
Actual result
Parisyan wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Diaz holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Parisyan has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Diaz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Diaz throws more volume but Parisyan connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Parisyan's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Diaz has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ParisyanDiaz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Parisyan
Diaz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Parisyan
Diaz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
28.9
46.5
Performance Avg
49.6
33
Quality of Victory
49
79
Momentum Score
46
Parisyan
Diaz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
1.1
43%
Strike Accuracy
41%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance2
1Clinch1
4Ground0
Parisyan
Diaz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parisyan
Diaz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/35 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
Parisyan
Diaz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Parisyan
Diaz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
86%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Parisyan
Diaz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.9
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
ParisyanDiaz
Strike Zones
Parisyan
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedDiaz
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Parisyan targets the head (88% of attacks) — Diaz absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Diaz targets the head (100% of attacks) — Parisyan absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Parisyan
RND
Diaz
0/0R00/0
Parisyan · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Diaz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Parisyan · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dennis HallmanRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
Upcoming
Dong Hyun KimUFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R2
Thiago AlvesRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
W · Dec · R3
Ryo ChonanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · Dec · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 4.5Decision
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
Diaz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Robbie LawlerRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
Upcoming
Anderson SilvaUFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · 2015-01
L · Dec · R5
Georges St-PierreRating 5.5Decision
UFC 158: St-Pierre vs Diaz · 2013-03
L · Dec · R5
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10