METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
43%
Latifi
57%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:58
★ Official Result
Jan BlachowiczwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:58
def. Ilir Latifi · UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Blachowicz
→
Actual result
Blachowicz wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Latifi at 43% vs Blachowicz at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Latifi's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Blachowicz has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LatifiBlachowicz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Latifi
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+78"
44
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Latifi
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.6
44.0
48.4
Performance Avg
51.8
43
Quality of Victory
48
33
Momentum Score
20
Latifi
Blachowicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
5.8
4.7
Style: Volume
4.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Latifi
Blachowicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Latifi
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
32
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
23/40 fights
Latifi
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
20
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Latifi
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
58%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Latifi
Blachowicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
LatifiBlachowicz
Strike Zones
Latifi
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedBlachowicz
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Latifi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (69% of attacks) — Latifi absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Latifi
RND
Blachowicz
0/0R00/0
Latifi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisDecision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
Blachowicz · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Navajo StirlingKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
Upcoming
Bogdan GuskovDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraDecision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12