UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story
Stockholm, Sweden
4 Oct 2014
Light Heavyweight
VS
41%
Latifi
59%
Blachowicz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blachowicz
This is a genuine toss-up — Latifi at 41% vs Blachowicz at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Blachowicz has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Latifi's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Blachowicz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Latifi
Blachowicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
73"
Reach
+78"
43
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Latifi
Blachowicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.6
46.4
48.4
Performance Avg
53.0
43
Quality of Victory
48
33
Momentum Score
20
Latifi
Blachowicz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
9
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground7
Latifi
Blachowicz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.8
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Latifi
Blachowicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/26 fights
Chin rating based on
22/40 fights
Latifi
Blachowicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Latifi
Blachowicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
58%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Latifi
Blachowicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.9
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
LatifiBlachowicz
Strike Zones
Latifi
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedBlachowicz
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Latifi targets the head (100% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (69% of attacks) — Latifi absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Latifi
RND
Blachowicz
0/0R00/0
Latifi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Blachowicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Latifi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Tanner BoserRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
L · KO · R2
Volkan OezdemirRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
Blachowicz · Last 5
Upcoming
Bogdan GuskovDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
W · KO · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05