METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Las Vegas, USA
12 Oct 2024
Featherweight
VS
45%
Pearce
55%
Sabatini
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 4:06
★ Official Result
Pat SabatiniwinsSubmissionR1 · 4:06
def. Jonathan Pearce · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sabatini
→
Actual result
Sabatini wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Pearce at 45% vs Sabatini at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Pearce's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sabatini has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PearceSabatini
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Pearce
Sabatini
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
71"+
Reach
70"
34+
Age
35
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Pearce
Sabatini
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.8
55.7
47.4
Performance Avg
53.2
42
Quality of Victory
34
56
Momentum Score
81
Pearce
Sabatini
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
4.8
4.3
Style: Volume
7.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
1
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch1
0Ground1
Pearce
Sabatini
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Pearce
Sabatini
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
56
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
11/27 fights
Pearce
Sabatini
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
81
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Pearce
Sabatini
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pearce
Sabatini
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.6
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
PearceSabatini
Strike Zones
Pearce
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSabatini
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pearce targets the body (50% of attacks) — Sabatini absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Sabatini targets the head (67% of attacks) — Pearce absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pearce
RND
Sabatini
0/0R00/0
Pearce · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Pat SabatiniSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
David OnamaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Joanderson BritoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · KO · R2
Makwan AmirkhaniKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
Sabatini · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
William GomisDecision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalDecision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Joanderson BritoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy · 2025-04
W · Sub · R1
Jonathan PearceSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Diego LopesKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11