METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Welterweight
VS
73%
Means
27%
Howard
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 Β· 0:21
Tim
Tim Means
"The Dirty Bird"
33 – 17
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 37
JH
John Howard
"Doomsday"
24 – 13
Well-Rounded43 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'7"
CFR 14
β˜… Official Result
Tim MeanswinsKO/TKOR2 Β· 0:21
def. John Howard Β· UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Means
β†’
Actual result
Means wins
KO/TKO Β· R2
Pre-fight analysis

Means is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Howard has a chin rating of 46 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MeansHoward
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Means
Howard
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'7"
75"+
Reach
72"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Howard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
13.7
45.2
Performance Avg
40.1
41
Quality of Victory
34
40
Momentum Score
40
Means
Howard
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
5.0
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
3.5
4.8
Style: Volume
6.7
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Means
Howard
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Means
Howard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
14/37 fights
Means
Howard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
40
40
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R2
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R2
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Means
Howard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Means
Howard
Striking5.0 / 3.9Volume4.8 / 6.7Grappling2.2 / 1.7Wrestling1.5 / 1.2Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Means
Strike Zones
Howard
Means
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Howard
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY1LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (67% of attacks) β€” Howard absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Means
RND
Howard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Means Β· Last 5

L Β· Sub Β· R1
Court McGee
Submission
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L Β· KO Β· R1
Uros Medic
KO/TKO
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W Β· KO Β· R3
Andre Fialho
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot Β· 2023-09
L Β· Sub Β· R2
Alex Morono
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Β· 2023-05
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Max Griffin
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen Β· 2022-10

Howard Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R2
Tim Means
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant Β· 2015-12
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Cathal Pendred
Decision
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor Β· 2015-07
L Β· KO Β· R1
Lorenz Larkin
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver Β· 2015-01
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Brian Ebersole
Decision
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso Β· 2014-09
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Ryan LaFlare
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson Β· 2014-04

News & Media

Tim Means Β· John Howard
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