UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. VanZant
Las Vegas, USA
10 Dec 2015
Welterweight
VS
73%
Means
27%
Howard
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:21
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Means
Means is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Means throws more volume but Howard connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Howard has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Means
Howard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'7"
75"+
Reach
72"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Howard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
13.7
45.2
Performance Avg
40.1
41
Quality of Victory
34
40
Momentum Score
40
Means
Howard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
0.9
51%
Strike Accuracy
57%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance0
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Means
Howard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Howard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
14/37 fights
Means
Howard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Means
Howard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
29%
6
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Means
Howard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
MeansHoward
Strike Zones
Means
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedHoward
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (67% of attacks) — Howard absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Means
RND
Howard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Means · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Howard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7Submission
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Howard · Last 5
L · KO · R2
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