UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes
Utica, USA
1 Jun 2018
Bantamweight
VS
42%
Rivera
58%
Moraes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:33
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Moraes
This is a genuine toss-up — Rivera at 42% vs Moraes at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Moraes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Striking split: Rivera throws more volume but Moraes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Moraes has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Rivera
Moraes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'6"
68"+
Reach
67"
36+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rivera
Moraes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.8
21.5
43.5
Performance Avg
47.3
30
Quality of Victory
49
58
Momentum Score
20
Rivera
Moraes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
37%
Strike Accuracy
42%
2.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
6
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground5
Rivera
Moraes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rivera
Moraes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/28 fights
Chin rating based on
11/33 fights
Rivera
Moraes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
20
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Rivera
Moraes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rivera
Moraes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
RiveraMoraes
Strike Zones
Rivera
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedMoraes
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moraes targets the head (86% of attacks) — Rivera absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rivera
RND
Moraes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rivera · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Moraes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Rivera · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
W · Dec · R3
Cody StamannRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · 2020-07
L · Dec · R3
Petr YanRating 7Decision
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes · 2019-06
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
John DodsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09
Moraes · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Song YadongRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ankalaev · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Merab DvalishviliRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · KO · R1
Rob FontRating 2.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Cory SandhagenRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moraes vs. Sandhagen · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
Jose AldoRating 5Decision
UFC 245: Usman vs. Covington · 2019-12