★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Vancouver, Canada
10 Jun 2023
Women's Bantamweight
VS
54%
Nunes
46%
Aldana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
AN
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
23 – 5
5'8"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Irene
Irene Aldana
15 – 8
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nunes

This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 54% vs Aldana at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.

Striking split: Aldana throws more volume but Nunes connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Nunes
Aldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Aldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
50.5
75.2
Performance Avg
46.5
66
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
81
Nunes
Aldana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
2.1
54%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.9
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
18Ground1
Nunes
Aldana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nunes
Aldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Nunes
Aldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
81
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Nunes
Aldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nunes
Aldana
Striking6.2 / 4.9Volume4.8 / 5.1Grappling2.4 / 2.2Wrestling1.7 / 1.5Submission1.9 / 1.3Pressure7.0 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Nunes
Strike Zones
Aldana
Nunes
Attacking
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Aldana
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD3BODY0LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (84% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Aldana targets the body (100% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nunes
RND
Aldana
0/0R00/0

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W6.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.9W5.9W5.0W5.9W6.1W5.0W5.1W5.7W4.8W5.0W3.7L6.0W5.3W2013-082016-032018-122021-122023-06
WinLossTrend

Aldana · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.8L4.5W4.5W5.5W6.1L4.5W5.4W5.6L5.1W6.8W6.7L5.2W6.0L2016-122019-052020-102023-122024-09
WinLossTrend

Nunes · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06

Aldana · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 5.2
Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Macy ChiassonRating 6.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

News & Media

Amanda Nunes · Irene Aldana
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