METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Vancouver, Canada
10 Jun 2023
Women's Bantamweight
VS
54%
Nunes
46%
Aldana
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Amanda NuneswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Irene Aldana · UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nunes
→
Actual result
Nunes wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 54% vs Aldana at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 27 points.
Risk flags
Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NunesAldana
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nunes
Aldana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
69"+
Reach
68"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Aldana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
50.5
75.2
Performance Avg
46.5
66
Quality of Victory
39
100
Momentum Score
81
Nunes
Aldana
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
4.9
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
5.2
4.8
Style: Volume
5.1
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
3
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
0Clinch0
18Ground1
Nunes
Aldana
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.9
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Aldana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Nunes
Aldana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
81
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
Nunes
Aldana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
50%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Aldana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
NunesAldana
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedAldana
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (84% of attacks) — Aldana absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Aldana targets the body (100% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Aldana
0/0R00/0
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaDecision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaSubmission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonSubmission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerDecision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Aldana · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontDecision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Karol RosaDecision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · KO · R3
Macy ChiassonKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Yana SantosKO/TKO
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07