METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
61%
Nunes
39%
Holm
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:10
★ Official Result
Amanda NuneswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:10
def. Holly Holm · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nunes
→
Actual result
Nunes wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Nunes holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Holm has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Holm has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NunesHolm
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nunes
Holm
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
38+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nunes
Holm
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
37.1
75.2
Performance Avg
46.5
66
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
30
Nunes
Holm
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
7.0
Style: Pressure
3.4
4.8
Style: Volume
7.1
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
6
Body
0
3
Leg
8
RangeRange
11Distance11
3Clinch0
3Ground0
Nunes
Holm
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Holm
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Nunes
Holm
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Nunes
Holm
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Holm
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
NunesHolm
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedHolm
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (47% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Holm targets the legs (73% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Holm
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaDecision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaSubmission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonSubmission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerDecision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Holm · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonSubmission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno SilvaUFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10