★ Championship Bout · Women's Bantamweight
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
61%
Nunes
39%
Holm
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:10
AN
Amanda Nunes
"The Lioness"
23 – 5
5'8"69" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Holly
Holly Holm
"The Preacher's Daughter"
15 – 7
Well-Rounded44 yrsSouthpaw69" reach5'8"
CFR 37

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nunes

Nunes holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Holm has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Nunes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Nunes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holm has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Nunes
Holm
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
69"
37+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Nunes
Holm
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
37.1
75.2
Performance Avg
46.5
66
Quality of Victory
42
100
Momentum Score
30
Nunes
Holm
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
54%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
3
6
Body
0
3
Leg
8
RangeRange
11Distance11
3Clinch0
3Ground0
Nunes
Holm
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
1.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nunes
Holm
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
16/22 fights
Nunes
Holm
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
30
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Nunes
Holm
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
25%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nunes
Holm
Striking6.2 / 3.6Volume4.8 / 7.1Grappling2.4 / 1.8Wrestling1.7 / 1.3Submission1.9 / 0.0Pressure7.0 / 3.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Nunes
Strike Zones
Holm
Nunes
Attacking
8HEAD6BODY3LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY8LEGS11 absorbed
Holm
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY8LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD6BODY3LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (47% of attacks) — Holm absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Holm targets the legs (73% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 73% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nunes
RND
Holm
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nunes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W6.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.9W5.9W5.0W5.9W6.1W5.0W5.1W5.7W4.8W5.0W3.7L6.0W5.3W2013-082016-032018-122021-122023-06
WinLossTrend

Holm · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.1W4.5W5.1W4.9L6.9L6.7L5.2W5.5L4.5W2.7L5.1W5.3W5.9L4.6W4.9L2015-022016-072018-062022-052024-04
WinLossTrend

Nunes · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6
Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7
Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5
Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06

Holm · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Kayla HarrisonRating 4.9
Submission
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Upcoming
Mayra Bueno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Yana SantosRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen · 2023-03
L · Dec · R5
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira · 2022-05
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10

News & Media

Amanda Nunes · Holly Holm
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