METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Middleweight
VS
45%
Holland
55%
Ridder
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:31
★ Official Result
Reinier de RidderwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:31
def. Kevin Holland · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ridder
→
Actual result
Ridder wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 45% vs Ridder at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandRidder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Ridder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
81"+
Reach
78"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holland
Ridder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
58.5
49.3
Performance Avg
57.3
44
Quality of Victory
48
51
Momentum Score
53
Holland
Ridder
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
7.7
3.6
Style: Volume
3.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch0
9Ground12
Holland
Ridder
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
6
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Ridder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
7/25 fights
Holland
Ridder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
53
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Holland
Ridder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Ridder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
HollandRidder
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedRidder
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (91% of attacks) — Ridder absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Ridder targets the head (92% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Ridder
0/0R00/0
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownDecision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottDecision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Ridder · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Roman DolidzeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R4
Brendan AllenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Bo NickalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

