METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Middleweight
VS
46%
Holland
54%
Ridder
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:31
★ Official Result
Reinier de RidderwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:31
def. Kevin Holland · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ridder
→
Actual result
Ridder wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 46% vs Ridder at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Holland throws more volume but Ridder connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollandRidder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holland
Ridder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
81"+
Reach
78"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holland
Ridder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
55.7
49.3
Performance Avg
53.5
44
Quality of Victory
45
51
Momentum Score
53
Holland
Ridder
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
0.8
52%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch0
9Ground12
Holland
Ridder
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
6
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Ridder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Holland
Ridder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
53
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Holland
Ridder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
75%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holland
Ridder
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
HollandRidder
Strike Zones
Holland
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedRidder
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (91% of attacks) — Ridder absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Ridder targets the head (92% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holland
RND
Ridder
0/0R00/0
Holland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Ridder · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
Ridder · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Caio BorralhoRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R4
Brendan AllenRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Robert WhittakerRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Bo NickalRating 6.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 5.6Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01