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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Middleweight
VS
45%
Holland
55%
Ridder
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:31
Kevin
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
2915
6'3"81" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 47
Reinier
Reinier de Ridder
"RdR"
214
Pressure Fighter36 yrsSouthpaw78" reach6'4"
CFR 59
★ Official Result
Reinier de RidderwinsSubmissionR1 · 3:31
def. Kevin Holland · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ridder
Actual result
Ridder wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Holland at 45% vs Ridder at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Holland's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
HollandRidder
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Holland
Ridder
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
81"+
Reach
78"
33+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Holland
Ridder
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.0
58.5
49.3
Performance Avg
57.3
44
Quality of Victory
48
51
Momentum Score
53
Holland
Ridder
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
5.4
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
7.7
3.6
Style: Volume
3.0
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance0
1Clinch0
9Ground12
Holland
Ridder
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
3.7
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
6
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holland
Ridder
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
76
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
29/44 fights
Chin rating based on
7/25 fights
Holland
Ridder
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
51
53
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Holland
Ridder
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
69%
80%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
6
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holland
Ridder
Striking4.3 / 5.4Volume3.6 / 3.0Grappling3.8 / 3.7Wrestling2.6 / 2.6Submission3.8 / 4.0Pressure6.5 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.7
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Holland
Strike Zones
Ridder
Holland
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Ridder
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (91% of attacks) — Ridder absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Ridder targets the head (92% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holland
RND
Ridder
0/0R00/0

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy Brown
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike Malott
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel Rodriguez
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente Luque
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar Nelson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

Ridder · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Roman Dolidze
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Caio Borralho
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · KO · R4
Brendan Allen
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
W · Dec · R5
Robert Whittaker
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Bo Nickal
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05

News & Media

Kevin Holland · Reinier de Ridder
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