METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Hamburg, Germany
3 Sept 2016
Welterweight
VS
27%
Sobotta
73%
Dalby
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Peter SobottawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nicolas Dalby · UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dalby
→
Actual result
Sobotta wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dalby is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sobotta has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Sobotta's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SobottaDalby
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Sobotta
Dalby
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"+
Reach
74"
39+
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Sobotta
Dalby
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
41.4
39.8
Performance Avg
41.9
40
Quality of Victory
29
50
Momentum Score
45
Sobotta
Dalby
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
2.7
4.8
Style: Volume
8.2
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
6
2
Body
4
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
11Distance6
0Clinch3
0Ground2
Sobotta
Dalby
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Sobotta
Dalby
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/24 fights
Chin rating based on
15/30 fights
Sobotta
Dalby
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
45
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Sobotta
Dalby
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
13%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Sobotta
Dalby
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.5
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.2
SobottaDalby
Strike Zones
Sobotta
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedDalby
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Sobotta targets the head (82% of attacks) — Dalby absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Dalby targets the head (55% of attacks) — Sobotta absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Sobotta
RND
Dalby
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Sobotta · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
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UFC Fight Night: Arlovski vs. Barnett · 2016-09
L · KO · R1
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W · Dec · R3
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