UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
57%
Petrino
43%
Prachnio
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 3:42
Vitor
Vitor Petrino
14 – 2
6'2"77" reachOrthodox28 yrs3-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 58
Marcin
Marcin Prachnio
17 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'3"
CFR 43

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Petrino

This is a genuine toss-up — Petrino at 57% vs Prachnio at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Prachnio has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Petrino's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Prachnio has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Petrino
Prachnio
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
77"+
Reach
73"
28+
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Petrino
Prachnio
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
42.9
55.0
Performance Avg
34.0
40
Quality of Victory
33
71
Momentum Score
96
Petrino
Prachnio
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
2.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
53%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
12
2
Body
6
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
13Distance18
0Clinch3
4Ground0
Petrino
Prachnio
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
2.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Petrino
Prachnio
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
0
Moderate
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
11/26 fights
Petrino
Prachnio
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
96
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Petrino
Prachnio
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Petrino
Prachnio
Striking4.4 / 3.2Volume5.0 / 6.7Grappling3.3 / 1.8Wrestling2.3 / 1.3Submission2.9 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 2.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
2.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.7
Petrino
Strike Zones
Prachnio
Petrino
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY2LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY3LEGS21 absorbed
Prachnio
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY3LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY2LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Petrino targets the head (76% of attacks) — Prachnio absorbs 76% of strikes there
🎯Prachnio targets the head (57% of attacks) — Petrino absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Petrino
RND
Prachnio
0/0R00/0

Petrino · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.9W6.1W5.5W2.7L5.4L5.0W5.5W5.9W2023-032024-032025-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Prachnio · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0101.5L3.0L1.5L5.4W5.2W6.2L4.5W5.1L4.5W4.8L3.0L2018-022021-012023-022024-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Petrino · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Steven AsplundRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Thomas PetersenRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Sub · R1
Austen LaneRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Dustin JacobyRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Sub · R1
Anthony SmithRating 2.7
Submission
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05

Prachnio · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Jimmy CruteRating 3
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Modestas BukauskasRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Devin ClarkRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Vitor PetrinoRating 5.1
Submission
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
William KnightRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · 2023-02

News & Media

Vitor Petrino · Marcin Prachnio
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