METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Anaheim, USA
23 Feb 2013
Lightweight
VS
82%
Chiesa
18%
Kuivanen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:29
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsSubmissionR2 · 2:29
def. Anton Kuivanen · UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Chiesa is a strong favourite at 82% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 39 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Chiesa has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaKuivanen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
Kuivanen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'8"
75"+
Reach
72"
38+
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Kuivanen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
11.5
53.3
Performance Avg
28.3
43
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
40
Chiesa
Kuivanen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
1.0
4.6
Style: Volume
8.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Chiesa
Kuivanen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
9
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Kuivanen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
3/34 fights
Chiesa
Kuivanen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
40
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Chiesa
Kuivanen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
9
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
Kuivanen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
Kuivanen
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max GriffinSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandSubmission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Kuivanen · Last 3
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaSubmission
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Mitch ClarkeDecision
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Justin SalasDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02