METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Nov 2020
Featherweight
VS
80%
Elkins
20%
Garagorri
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:22
★ Official Result
Darren ElkinswinsSubmissionR3 · 2:22
def. Eduardo Garagorri · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Elkins wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Elkins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElkinsGaragorri
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elkins
Garagorri
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elkins
Garagorri
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
11.3
45.5
Performance Avg
28.3
35
Quality of Victory
25
66
Momentum Score
40
Elkins
Garagorri
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
1.0
6.3
Style: Volume
8.7
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
10
2
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Elkins
Garagorri
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elkins
Garagorri
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
31/41 fights
Chin rating based on
3/15 fights
Elkins
Garagorri
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Elkins
Garagorri
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elkins
Garagorri
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.7
ElkinsGaragorri
Strike Zones
Elkins
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedGaragorri
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (57% of attacks) — Garagorri absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Garagorri targets the head (77% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elkins
RND
Garagorri
0/0R00/0
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceDecision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
Garagorri · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Darren ElkinsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
L · Sub · R1
Ricardo RamosSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
W · Dec · R3
Humberto BandenayDecision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08