UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Lightweight
VS
96%
Davis
4%
Gifford
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:45
Mike
Mike Davis
"Beast Boy"
12 – 3
6'0"72" reachOrthodox33 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
TG
Thomas Gifford
"The Young Lion"
14 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'1"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Davis

Davis is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Davis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.

Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Davis
Gifford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Gifford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
2.1
53.1
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Davis
Gifford
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
14
8
Body
6
6
Leg
8
RangeRange
28Distance24
0Clinch4
5Ground0
Davis
Gifford
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Gifford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Davis
Gifford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Davis
Gifford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Davis
Gifford
Striking5.4 / 0.0Volume4.6 / 0.0Grappling2.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.8 / 0.0Submission2.0 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Davis
Strike Zones
Gifford
Davis
Attacking
19HEAD8BODY6LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD6BODY8LEGS28 absorbed
Gifford
Attacking
14HEAD6BODY8LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD8BODY6LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (58% of attacks) — Gifford absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Gifford targets the head (50% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Davis
RND
Gifford
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.0L5.5W5.5W5.0W5.2W6.7L5.2W2019-042021-012024-032025-07
WinLossTrend

Gifford · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.7L5.1L2019-042019-10
WinLossTrend

Davis · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Mitch RamirezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Natan LevyRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

Gifford · Last 2

L · KO · R3
Mike DavisRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04

News & Media

Mike Davis · Thomas Gifford
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