METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Tampa, USA
12 Oct 2019
Lightweight
VS
96%
Davis
4%
Gifford
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 4:45
★ Official Result
Mike DaviswinsKO/TKOR3 · 4:45
def. Thomas Gifford · UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Davis wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Davis is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Davis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DavisGifford
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Gifford
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+75"
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Gifford
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
2.1
53.1
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Davis
Gifford
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.3
56%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
14
8
Body
6
6
Leg
8
RangeRange
28Distance24
0Clinch4
5Ground0
Davis
Gifford
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Gifford
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/23 fights
Davis
Gifford
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Davis
Gifford
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Gifford
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DavisGifford
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedGifford
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (58% of attacks) — Gifford absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Gifford targets the head (50% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Gifford
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Gifford · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Davis · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Mitch RamirezRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Natan LevyRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
Gifford · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Mike DavisRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · Dec · R3
Roosevelt RobertsRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04