METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 41: Onslaught
Atlantic City, USA
28 Feb 2003
Lightweight
VS
51%
Thomas
49%
Serra
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Din ThomaswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Serra · UFC 41: Onslaught
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thomas
→
Actual result
Thomas wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Thomas at 51% vs Serra at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Serra has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Thomas's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Serra has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThomasSerra
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thomas
Serra
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'6"
Reach
68"
49+
Age
52
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thomas
Serra
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
18.2
43.1
Performance Avg
53.3
35
Quality of Victory
56
100
Momentum Score
52
Thomas
Serra
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
4.5
5.9
Style: Volume
5.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
3
Body
2
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance3
3Clinch2
0Ground0
Thomas
Serra
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
2.5
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thomas
Serra
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
46
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
14/18 fights
Thomas
Serra
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
52
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Thomas
Serra
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thomas
Serra
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
ThomasSerra
Strike Zones
Thomas
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedSerra
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thomas targets the head (55% of attacks) — Serra absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Serra targets the head (40% of attacks) — Thomas absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thomas
RND
Serra
0/0R00/0
Thomas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh NeerDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Kenny FlorianSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy StephensSubmission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Sub · R2
Rich ClementiSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
Serra · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chris LytleDecision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
W · KO · R1
Frank TriggKO/TKO
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · Dec · R3
Matt HughesDecision
UFC 98: Evans vs Machida · 2009-05
L · KO · R2
Georges St-PierreKO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreKO/TKO
UFC 69: Shootout · 2007-04