UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Till
Gdansk, Poland
21 Oct 2017
Light Heavyweight
VS
62%
Blachowicz
38%
Clark
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:02
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Blachowicz
Blachowicz holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Clark has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Blachowicz has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 20 points.
Clark has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Blachowicz's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clark has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Blachowicz
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
78"+
Reach
75"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Blachowicz
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.4
28.7
53.0
Performance Avg
35.7
48
Quality of Victory
28
20
Momentum Score
43
Blachowicz
Clark
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
54%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
5 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
2
4
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance3
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Blachowicz
Clark
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Blachowicz
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/40 fights
Chin rating based on
17/23 fights
Blachowicz
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Blachowicz
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
13%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Blachowicz
Clark
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
BlachowiczClark
Strike Zones
Blachowicz
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedClark
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Blachowicz targets the head (62% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 62% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (67% of attacks) — Blachowicz absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Blachowicz
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0
Blachowicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Blachowicz · Last 5
Upcoming
Bogdan GuskovDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Carlos UlbergRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Alex PereiraRating 7.6Decision
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Upcoming
Magomed AnkalaevDecision
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12
W · KO · R3
Aleksandar RakicRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
Clark · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R2
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 4Submission
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon JungRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · KO · R3
William KnightRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04