UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2026
Middleweight
VS
50%
Rodrigues
50%
Ferreira
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:47
Gregory
Gregory Rodrigues
"Robocop"
19 – 6
6'3"75" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 67
Brunno
Brunno Ferreira
"The Hulk"
15 – 3
Pressure Fighter33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rodrigues

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodrigues at 50% vs Ferreira at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Rodrigues has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rodrigues's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ferreira has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Rodrigues
Ferreira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
34
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rodrigues
Ferreira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
66.6
66.1
59.3
Performance Avg
57.5
48
Quality of Victory
51
100
Momentum Score
100
Rodrigues
Ferreira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.9
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.3
7 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
1
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Rodrigues
Ferreira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.1
0.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Rodrigues
Ferreira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
44
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/25 fights
Chin rating based on
10/18 fights
Rodrigues
Ferreira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
Rodrigues
Ferreira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
83%
7
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodrigues
Ferreira
Striking8.5 / 6.3Volume3.9 / 2.7Grappling0.7 / 3.1Wrestling0.5 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 3.3Pressure7.2 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.1
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
3.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Rodrigues
Strike Zones
Ferreira
Rodrigues
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Ferreira
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rodrigues targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ferreira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodrigues
RND
Ferreira
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rodrigues · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.9W6.3W5.5L5.5W6.4W3.1L5.1W5.5W6.0W4.3L5.9W5.5W6.6W2021-062022-092024-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Ferreira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.6W3.4L5.0W5.0W4.8L5.2W6.0W5.3W3.1L2023-012024-062025-072026-03
WinLossTrend

Rodrigues · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 6.6
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Roman KopylovRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Jack HermanssonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · KO · R4
Jared CannonierRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Christian Leroy DuncanRating 6
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

Ferreira · Last 5

Upcoming
Ikram Aliskerov
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · KO · R1
Gregory RodriguesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Marvin VettoriRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Sub · R1
Jackson McVeyRating 6
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Armen PetrosyanRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03

News & Media

Gregory Rodrigues · Brunno Ferreira
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