Gregory Rodrigues vs Brunno Ferreira — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2

Las Vegas, USA

7 Mar 2026

Middleweight

51%

Rodrigues

49%

Ferreira

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:47

Gregory Rodrigues

"Robocop"

19 – 6

6'3"75" reachOrthodox34 yrs4-fight win streakStriker

CFR 66

Brunno Ferreira

"The Hulk"

15 – 3

Pressure Fighter2-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"

CFR 63

★ Official Result

Gregory RodrigueswinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:47

def. Brunno Ferreira · UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Rodrigues

→

Actual result

Rodrigues wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Rodrigues at 51% vs Ferreira at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Rodrigues's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Ferreira has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

RodriguesFerreira

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Rodrigues

Ferreira

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"+

Height

5'10"

75"+

Reach

72"

Age

+33

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Rodrigues

Ferreira

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

65.6

62.7

58.7

Performance Avg

54.8

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Rodrigues

Ferreira

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

7.9

/ 10

6.2

/ 10

6.8

Style: Pressure

7.6

4.5

Style: Volume

2.5

7 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

3 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

2Distance2

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Rodrigues

Ferreira

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.9

/ 10

3.1

/ 10

0.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.1

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

3.3

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Rodrigues

Ferreira

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

KO risk

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.5 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

4 fights ago

Last KO loss

2 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

14/25 fights

Chin rating based on

11/18 fights

Rodrigues

Ferreira

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · KO · R4

Last 5

Upcoming

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · Sub · R1

Rodrigues

Ferreira

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

64%

83%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rodrigues

Ferreira

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

7.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

6.2

0.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.1

0.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.1

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

3.3

6.8

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.6

4.5

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.5

Rodrigues

Strike Zones

Ferreira

Rodrigues

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Ferreira

Attacking

2 landed

Absorbing

2 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Rodrigues targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ferreira absorbs 50% of strikes there

🎯Ferreira targets the head (50% of attacks) — Rodrigues absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rodrigues

RND

Ferreira

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Rodrigues · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Anthony Hernandez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08

W · KO · R1

Brunno Ferreira

KO/TKO

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Roman Kopylov

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Jack Hermansson

KO/TKO

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

L · KO · R4

Jared Cannonier

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02

Ferreira · Last 5

Upcoming

Edmen Shahbazyan

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

L · Dec · R3

Ikram Aliskerov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06

L · KO · R1

Gregory Rodrigues

KO/TKO

UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03

W · Dec · R3

Marvin Vettori

Decision

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

W · Sub · R1

Jackson McVey

Submission

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

News & Media

Gregory Rodrigues · Brunno Ferreira

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