METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Welterweight
VS
62%
Usman
38%
Masvidal
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:02
★ Official Result
Kamaru UsmanwinsKO/TKOR2 · 1:02
def. Jorge Masvidal · UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Usman
→
Actual result
Usman wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Usman holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Masvidal has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 21 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
UsmanMasvidal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Usman
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
74"
39+
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Usman
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.3
35.2
59.6
Performance Avg
47.0
46
Quality of Victory
42
55
Momentum Score
43
Usman
Masvidal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
4.6
Style: Pressure
5.1
7.1
Style: Volume
4.4
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
2Distance8
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Usman
Masvidal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
0.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.8
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Usman
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/25 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Usman
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
43
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Usman
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Usman
Masvidal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
UsmanMasvidal
Strike Zones
Usman
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMasvidal
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Usman
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Usman · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Dricus Du PlessisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · 2026-07
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevDecision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsKO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
Masvidal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsDecision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonDecision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanKO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanDecision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazUFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11