★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Welterweight
VS
62%
Usman
38%
Masvidal
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:02
Kamaru
Kamaru Usman
"The Nigerian Nightmare"
21 – 4
6'0"76" reachSwitch39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
JM
Jorge Masvidal
"Gamebred"
35 – 17
Well-Rounded4-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'11"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Usman

Usman holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Masvidal has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Masvidal throws more volume but Usman connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Masvidal has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Usman
Masvidal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
74"
39+
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Usman
Masvidal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
35.2
61.2
Performance Avg
47.0
46
Quality of Victory
42
55
Momentum Score
43
Usman
Masvidal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
54%
Strike Accuracy
49%
4.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
2Distance8
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Usman
Masvidal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Usman
Masvidal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
60
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/25 fights
Chin rating based on
22/52 fights
Usman
Masvidal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
43
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
Usman
Masvidal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
31%
50%
4
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Usman
Masvidal
Striking4.2 / 5.3Volume7.2 / 4.4Grappling2.1 / 1.7Wrestling1.5 / 1.2Submission0.6 / 0.8Pressure4.7 / 5.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
0.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.8
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Usman
Strike Zones
Masvidal
Usman
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY6LEGS8 absorbed
Masvidal
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY6LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Usman targets the head (100% of attacks) — Masvidal absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Masvidal targets the legs (75% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Usman
RND
Masvidal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Usman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.6W4.5W4.7W5.6W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.7W4.5W6.8W4.5W5.5W5.1W5.8W5.1L6.6L7.4L5.7W2015-072017-092019-122022-082025-06
WinLossTrend

Masvidal · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.6W6.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L6.1L5.1W5.0W4.3W6.6L3.2L6.8L5.7L2013-042015-042017-012020-072023-04
WinLossTrend

Usman · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11

Masvidal · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
L · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
L · KO · R2
Kamaru UsmanRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal · 2020-07
W · R3
Nate DiazRating 4.3
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

News & Media

Kamaru Usman · Jorge Masvidal
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