UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens
Tampa, USA
7 Feb 2009
Lightweight
VS
64%
Veach
36%
Grice
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:34
MV
Matt Veach
17 – 5
5'11"Orthodox44 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 19
MG
Matt Grice
"The Real One"
15 – 5
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Veach

Veach holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Grice has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Veach has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Grice has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Grice has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Veach
Grice
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'8"
Reach
70"
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Veach
Grice
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
10.6
49.3
Performance Avg
26.4
60
Quality of Victory
25
43
Momentum Score
55
Veach
Grice
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
2.3
30%
Strike Accuracy
52%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
26
0
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
5Distance6
5Clinch9
2Ground14
Veach
Grice
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Veach
Grice
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
30
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/22 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Veach
Grice
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Veach
Grice
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Veach
Grice
Striking10.0 / 0.6Volume0.7 / 8.6Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure8.0 / 0.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Veach
Strike Zones
Grice
Veach
Attacking
11HEAD0BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD2BODY1LEGS29 absorbed
Grice
Attacking
26HEAD2BODY1LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD0BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Veach targets the head (92% of attacks) — Grice absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Grice targets the head (90% of attacks) — Veach absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Veach
RND
Grice
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Veach · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.5
0105.0W2.8L2.8L2009-022009-122010-04
WinLossTrend

Grice · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.9
0101.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L1.5L4.5W5.5L2007-042009-022011-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Veach · Last 3

L · Sub · R2
Paul KellyRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 112: Invincible · 2010-04
L · Sub · R2
Frankie EdgarRating 2.8
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
W · KO · R1
Matt GriceRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

Grice · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Sub · R1
Shannon GugertyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R1
Matt VeachRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

News & Media

Matt Veach · Matt Grice
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