METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Welterweight
VS
50%
Trinaldo
50%
Roberts
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Roberts · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 50% vs Roberts at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Roberts throws more volume but Trinaldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Roberts has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoRoberts
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+74"
47
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
31.8
48.6
Performance Avg
45.6
35
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
45
Trinaldo
Roberts
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
4
3
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance9
6Clinch4
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Roberts
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Trinaldo
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Trinaldo
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Roberts
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
TrinaldoRoberts
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedRoberts
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (83% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the body (54% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 54% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Roberts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Roberts · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Jonny ParsonsRating 4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R2
Zelim ImadaevRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11