UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Welterweight
VS
50%
Trinaldo
50%
Roberts
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FT
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
28 – 9
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 32
DR
Danny Roberts
"Hot Chocolate"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 32

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Trinaldo

This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 50% vs Roberts at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Roberts throws more volume but Trinaldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roberts has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Trinaldo
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+74"
47
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
31.8
48.6
Performance Avg
45.6
35
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
45
Trinaldo
Roberts
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
47%
Strike Accuracy
38%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
4
3
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance9
6Clinch4
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Roberts
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.2
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Trinaldo
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Trinaldo
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trinaldo
Roberts
Striking3.6 / 5.3Volume6.3 / 4.4Grappling2.4 / 2.2Wrestling1.6 / 1.5Submission1.1 / 1.4Pressure4.4 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Trinaldo
Strike Zones
Roberts
Trinaldo
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD7BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Roberts
Attacking
4HEAD7BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (83% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the body (54% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trinaldo
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0

Trinaldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W6.3L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L4.9W5.5L5.2W6.4L5.2W4.5W6.2W6.5L4.5W4.5W6.4L2012-062014-092017-032020-072022-10
WinLossTrend

Roberts · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W4.5W4.0L5.2W1.5L5.0W4.5W4.0L2.1L5.2W4.5W5.5L3.0L4.0L2015-122017-122019-052022-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Trinaldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Roberts · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jonny ParsonsRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan EmeevRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R2
Zelim ImadaevRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

News & Media

Francisco Trinaldo · Danny Roberts
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