METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
Phoenix, USA
7 May 2022
Welterweight
VS
50%
Trinaldo
50%
Roberts
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FT
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
289
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw48 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 32
DR
Danny Roberts
"Hot Chocolate"
188
Well-Rounded3-fight slide39 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'1"
CFR 32
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Roberts · UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 50% vs Roberts at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Roberts has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoRoberts
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Trinaldo
Roberts
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
70"
Reach
+74"
48
Age
+39
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Trinaldo
Roberts
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
31.8
48.6
Performance Avg
45.6
35
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
45
Trinaldo
Roberts
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
5.5
6.3
Style: Volume
4.4
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
4
3
Body
7
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
17Distance9
6Clinch4
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Roberts
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trinaldo
Roberts
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
0
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
14/26 fights
Trinaldo
Roberts
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Trinaldo
Roberts
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
57%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
1
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trinaldo
Roberts
Striking3.6 / 5.3Volume6.3 / 4.4Grappling2.4 / 2.2Wrestling1.6 / 1.5Submission1.1 / 1.4Pressure4.4 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.2
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
Trinaldo
Strike Zones
Roberts
Trinaldo
Attacking
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD7BODY2LEGS13 absorbed
Roberts
Attacking
4HEAD7BODY2LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD3BODY1LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (83% of attacks) — Roberts absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Roberts targets the body (54% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 54% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trinaldo
RND
Roberts
0/0R00/0

Trinaldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randy Brown
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny Roberts
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight Grant
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim Salikhov
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai Herbert
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Roberts · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Jonny Parsons
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Jack Della Maddalena
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Francisco Trinaldo
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Ramazan Emeev
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont · 2021-10
W · KO · R2
Zelim Imadaev
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11

News & Media

Francisco Trinaldo · Danny Roberts
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