UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Lightweight
VS
61%
Johnson
39%
Sass
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:00
Michael
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
25 – 20
5'10"73" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
PS
Paul Sass
14 – 2
Submission Hunter2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox73" reach6'0"
CFR 24

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Johnson

Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Sass has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sass has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Johnson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Johnson
Sass
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
39
Age
+37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Sass
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
24.0
42.5
Performance Avg
56.4
38
Quality of Victory
54
35
Momentum Score
91
Johnson
Sass
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.6
39%
Strike Accuracy
29%
4.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Sass
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Sass
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Johnson
Sass
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
91
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Johnson
Sass
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Johnson
Sass
Striking4.8 / 1.2Volume6.0 / 1.2Grappling1.5 / 8.0Wrestling1.1 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure4.1 / 8.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
Johnson
Strike Zones
Sass
Johnson
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Sass
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY2LEGS8 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sass absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Sass targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Johnson
RND
Sass
0/0R00/0

Johnson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.0W1.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.5L4.0L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.0W6.5L5.5L6.3W4.0L3.7L3.2L5.2W4.5W4.1L5.5L3.0L6.0L5.2W5.7L4.6W3.8L5.3W6.0W4.9W4.0L2010-122013-082017-072022-052026-03
WinLossTrend

Sass · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W5.1W5.0W1.5L5.5L2010-102011-102012-052012-092013-02
WinLossTrend

Johnson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Drew DoberRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05

Sass · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Matt WimanRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Sub · R1
Jacob VolkmannRating 5
Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Michael JohnsonRating 5.1
Submission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
W · Sub · R1
Mark HolstRating 5
Submission
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10

News & Media

Michael Johnson · Paul Sass
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