METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Washington, USA
1 Oct 2011
Lightweight
VS
61%
Johnson
39%
Sass
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:00
★ Official Result
Paul SasswinsSubmissionR1 · 3:00
def. Michael Johnson · UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Johnson
→
Actual result
Sass wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Johnson holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Sass has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Sass has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JohnsonSass
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Johnson
Sass
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
73"
Reach
73"
40
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Sass
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
24.0
42.5
Performance Avg
56.4
38
Quality of Victory
54
35
Momentum Score
91
Johnson
Sass
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
8.8
6.0
Style: Volume
1.2
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Johnson
Sass
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Johnson
Sass
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
32/45 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Johnson
Sass
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
91
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Johnson
Sass
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
100%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
3
10
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Sass
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.2
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.2
JohnsonSass
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedSass
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Sass absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Sass targets the head (100% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Sass
0/0R00/0
Johnson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Drew DoberKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R2
Ottman AzaitarKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Darrius FlowersDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · KO · R2
Diego FerreiraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05
Sass · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Danny CastilloDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald · 2013-02
L · Sub · R1
Matt WimanSubmission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Sub · R1
Jacob VolkmannSubmission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Michael JohnsonSubmission
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10
W · Sub · R1
Mark HolstSubmission
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama · 2010-10