UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2
Las Vegas, USA
10 Aug 2024
Bantamweight
VS
49%
Gutierrez
51%
Le
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Chris
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
22 – 7
5'9"67" reachOrthodox35 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 44
Quang
Quang Le
"Bang"
9 – 3
Submission Hunter34 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 45

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Le

This is a genuine toss-up — Gutierrez at 49% vs Le at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Le has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Gutierrez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Le has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gutierrez
Le
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
67"
Reach
+70"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gutierrez
Le
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.2
45.3
49.3
Performance Avg
39.7
35
Quality of Victory
50
25
Momentum Score
36
Gutierrez
Le
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.0
61%
Strike Accuracy
44%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
2
Body
0
12
Leg
3
RangeRange
29Distance5
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Gutierrez
Le
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
8.0
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gutierrez
Le
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Gutierrez
Le
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
36
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Gutierrez
Le
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gutierrez
Le
Striking4.4 / 0.5Volume7.0 / 0.5Grappling1.7 / 8.0Wrestling1.2 / 5.6Submission0.0 / 10.0Pressure4.2 / 7.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
Gutierrez
Strike Zones
Le
Gutierrez
Attacking
16HEAD2BODY12LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 absorbed
Le
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY3LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD2BODY12LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gutierrez targets the head (53% of attacks) — Le absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Le targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gutierrez absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gutierrez
RND
Le
0/0R00/0

Gutierrez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.6L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.9W5.0W6.0L5.1W6.8L5.0W5.3W7.0L2018-112021-022023-042025-042025-10
WinLossTrend

Le · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.0L4.8L5.4W3.3L2024-082024-112025-052025-09
WinLossTrend

Gutierrez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Farid BasharatRating 7
Decision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
John CastanedaRating 5.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Quang LeRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
L · Dec · R5
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

Le · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Santiago LunaRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Gaston BolanosRating 5.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · KO · R3
Xiao LongRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Chris GutierrezRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

News & Media

Chris Gutierrez · Quang Le
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