METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Women's Featherweight
VS
67%
Stoliarenko
33%
Letson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Leah LetsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Julija Stoliarenko · The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stoliarenko
→
Actual result
Letson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Stoliarenko holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Letson has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stoliarenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Risk flags
Stoliarenko's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StoliarenkoLetson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stoliarenko
Letson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
66"
Reach
+71"
33+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Stoliarenko
Letson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.9
20.4
41.3
Performance Avg
35.0
54
Quality of Victory
25
20
Momentum Score
46
Stoliarenko
Letson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
1.5
0.4
Style: Volume
9.0
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
6
0
Body
4
7
Leg
5
RangeRange
16Distance15
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Stoliarenko
Letson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stoliarenko
Letson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Stoliarenko
Letson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
46
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Stoliarenko
Letson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stoliarenko
Letson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
0.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
StoliarenkoLetson
Strike Zones
Stoliarenko
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedLetson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stoliarenko targets the head (61% of attacks) — Letson absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Letson targets the head (40% of attacks) — Stoliarenko absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stoliarenko
RND
Letson
0/0R00/0
Stoliarenko · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesDecision
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L · KO · R3
Luana CarolinaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
W · Sub · R1
Molly McCannSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · KO · R1
Chelsea ChandlerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Sub · R1
Jessica-Rose ClarkSubmission
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · 2022-07
Letson · Last 2
L · KO · R3
Felicia SpencerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
W · Dec · R3
Julija StoliarenkoDecision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale · 2018-11