UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
Sydney, Australia
26 Feb 2011
Heavyweight
VS
72%
Hunt
28%
Tuchscherer
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hunt
Hunt is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hunt has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 30 points.
Hunt has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hunt's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tuchscherer has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hunt
Tuchscherer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'2"
72"
Reach
+76"
52
Age
+50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hunt
Tuchscherer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
8.2
53.0
Performance Avg
25.0
55
Quality of Victory
25
91
Momentum Score
22
Hunt
Tuchscherer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
0.1
50%
Strike Accuracy
17%
9.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
7 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Hunt
Tuchscherer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hunt
Tuchscherer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/25 fights
Hunt
Tuchscherer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
91
22
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Hunt
Tuchscherer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
7
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hunt
Tuchscherer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
HuntTuchscherer
Strike Zones
Hunt
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTuchscherer
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hunt targets the head (100% of attacks) — Tuchscherer absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Tuchscherer targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hunt absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hunt
RND
Tuchscherer
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hunt · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Tuchscherer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.6WinLossTrend
Hunt · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Justin WillisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
L · Sub · R1
Aleksei OleinikRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4Decision
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
W · KO · R4
Derrick LewisRating 6.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · 2017-06
L · KO · R3
Alistair OvereemRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 209: Woodley vs. Thompson 2 · 2017-03
Tuchscherer · Last 4
L · KO · R2
Mark HuntRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch · 2011-02
L · KO · R1
Brendan SchaubRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
W · Dec · R3
Tim HagueRating 4.5Decision
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Gabriel GonzagaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08