UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
Edmonton, Canada
2 Nov 2024
Middleweight
VS
51%
Barriault
49%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:28
Marc-Andre
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
17 – 11
6'1"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Dustin
Dustin Stoltzfus
16 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Barriault

This is a genuine toss-up — Barriault at 51% vs Stoltzfus at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Barriault has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Barriault's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Barriault
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
34.6
41.9
Performance Avg
38.9
45
Quality of Victory
45
13
Momentum Score
10
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
7Clinch7
0Ground4
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barriault
Stoltzfus
Striking5.8 / 3.9Volume3.4 / 3.3Grappling2.1 / 3.5Wrestling1.5 / 2.4Submission1.7 / 3.3Pressure5.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Barriault
Strike Zones
Stoltzfus
Barriault
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Stoltzfus
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barriault targets the head (86% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (85% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barriault
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barriault · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.5L6.6L5.5W4.5W2.6L5.0W5.4L5.8W5.3W6.2L3.5L1.5L6.3W7.0L6.5L2019-052021-092023-032024-112026-02
WinLossTrend

Stoltzfus · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.1L5.3L5.1L4.5W2.3L6.2W3.1L5.0W7.4L5.8L2020-112022-072024-062025-09
WinLossTrend

Barriault · Last 5

Upcoming
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UFC Fight Night · 2026-07
L · Dec · R3
Michal OleksiejczukRating 6.5
Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Shara MagomedovRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Bruno SilvaRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Dustin StoltzfusRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

Stoltzfus · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 7.4
Decision
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W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · Sub · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Marc-Andre Barriault · Dustin Stoltzfus
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