METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
Edmonton, Canada
2 Nov 2024
Middleweight
VS
51%
Barriault
49%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:28
★ Official Result
Dustin StoltzfuswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:28
def. Marc-Andre Barriault · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barriault
→
Actual result
Stoltzfus wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Barriault at 51% vs Stoltzfus at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Barriault has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Barriault's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BarriaultStoltzfus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
34.6
41.9
Performance Avg
38.9
45
Quality of Victory
45
13
Momentum Score
10
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
1.2
50%
Strike Accuracy
46%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
7Clinch7
0Ground4
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
BarriaultStoltzfus
Strike Zones
Barriault
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedStoltzfus
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Barriault targets the head (86% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (85% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Barriault
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Barriault · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Stoltzfus · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Barriault · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
Stoltzfus · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 7.4Decision
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Marc-Andre BarriaultRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Brunno FerreiraRating 3.1KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R2
Punahele SorianoRating 6.2Submission
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