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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi
Edmonton, Canada
2 Nov 2024
Middleweight
VS
49%
Barriault
51%
Stoltzfus
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:28
Marc-Andre
Marc-Andre Barriault
"Powerbar"
1711
6'1"74" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Dustin
Dustin Stoltzfus
168
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 37
★ Official Result
Dustin StoltzfuswinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:28
def. Marc-Andre Barriault · UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stoltzfus
Actual result
Stoltzfus wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Barriault at 49% vs Stoltzfus at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Barriault's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Stoltzfus has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BarriaultStoltzfus
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+75"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
37.1
41.9
Performance Avg
42.1
45
Quality of Victory
46
13
Momentum Score
10
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
6.3
3.4
Style: Volume
2.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
11
1
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance2
7Clinch7
0Ground4
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.2
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
26
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
11/24 fights
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
13
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Barriault
Stoltzfus
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
75%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
2
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Barriault
Stoltzfus
Striking5.8 / 3.2Volume3.4 / 2.7Grappling2.1 / 4.6Wrestling1.5 / 3.2Submission1.7 / 5.0Pressure5.8 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
3.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Barriault
Strike Zones
Stoltzfus
Barriault
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Stoltzfus
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Barriault targets the head (86% of attacks) — Stoltzfus absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Stoltzfus targets the head (85% of attacks) — Barriault absorbs 85% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Barriault
RND
Stoltzfus
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Barriault · Last 5

Upcoming
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Decision
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Bruno Silva
KO/TKO
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Dustin Stoltzfus
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11

Stoltzfus · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Mansur Abdul-Malik
Submission
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin Gastelum
Decision
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Nursulton Ruziboev
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Marc-Andre Barriault
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Brunno Ferreira
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

News & Media

Marc-Andre Barriault · Dustin Stoltzfus
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