UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal
London, United Kingdom
16 Mar 2019
Light Heavyweight
VS
78%
Negumereanu
22%
Safarov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Negumereanu
Negumereanu is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Negumereanu has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Striking split: Negumereanu throws more volume but Safarov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Safarov has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Negumereanu
Safarov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
78"
Reach
78"
31+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Negumereanu
Safarov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.6
8.8
51.4
Performance Avg
25.0
41
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
22
Negumereanu
Safarov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.4
42%
Strike Accuracy
45%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
14
0
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground16
Negumereanu
Safarov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Negumereanu
Safarov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
54
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Negumereanu
Safarov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
22
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Negumereanu
Safarov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Negumereanu
Safarov
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
NegumereanuSafarov
Strike Zones
Negumereanu
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedSafarov
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Safarov targets the head (78% of attacks) — Negumereanu absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Negumereanu
RND
Safarov
0/0R00/0
Negumereanu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Safarov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Negumereanu · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · KO · R2
Ihor PotieriaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 5.8Decision
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal · 2022-03
W · KO · R1
Ike VillanuevaRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Aleksa CamurRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
Safarov · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Rodolfo VieiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Nicolae NegumereanuRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Till vs. Masvidal · 2019-03
L · Sub · R1
Tyson PedroRating 2.5Submission
UFC 221: Romero vs. Rockhold · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Gian VillanteRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12