UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2
Montreal, Canada
19 Apr 2008
Middleweight
VS
45%
Franklin
55%
Lutter
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:01
RF
Rich Franklin
"Ace"
29 – 7
6'1"76" reachSouthpaw51 yrsStriker
CFR 18
TL
Travis Lutter
"The Serial Killer"
10 – 6
Pressure Fighter2-fight slide53 yrsOrthodox75" reach5'11"
CFR 22

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lutter

This is a genuine toss-up — Franklin at 45% vs Lutter at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Lutter has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.

Franklin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Franklin's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lutter has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Franklin
Lutter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
76"+
Reach
75"
51+
Age
53
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Franklin
Lutter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.2
22.2
57.9
Performance Avg
59.8
50
Quality of Victory
78
50
Momentum Score
59
Franklin
Lutter
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.0
46%
Strike Accuracy
10%
7.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.7
8 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
0
7
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance0
8Clinch0
3Ground0
Franklin
Lutter
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Franklin
Lutter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
52
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/36 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Franklin
Lutter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
59
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Franklin
Lutter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
8
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Franklin
Lutter
Striking7.1 / 5.7Volume3.7 / 0.7Grappling1.3 / 4.0Wrestling0.9 / 2.8Submission0.7 / 5.0Pressure6.6 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Franklin
Strike Zones
Lutter
Franklin
Attacking
17HEAD7BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Lutter
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD7BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Franklin targets the head (71% of attacks) — Lutter absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Franklin
RND
Lutter
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Franklin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W4.4W5.0W4.5W1.5L5.2W4.5W2.1L5.2W5.5W5.5L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W1.5L2003-042005-112007-102009-092012-11
WinLossTrend

Lutter · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.2W2.8L5.5L5.0W2.8L2.8L2004-102005-042005-082006-112007-022008-04
WinLossTrend

Franklin · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Cung LeRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R5
Wanderlei SilvaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2 · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Forrest GriffinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
W · KO · R1
Chuck LiddellRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 103: Franklin vs Belfort · 2009-09

Lutter · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Rich FranklinRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
L · Sub · R2
Anderson SilvaRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
W · Sub · R1
Patrick CoteRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
L · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 54: Boiling Point · 2005-08
L · Sub · R2
Matt LindlandRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 52: Couture vs Liddell 2 · 2005-04

News & Media

Rich Franklin · Travis Lutter
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