UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros
Austin, USA
18 Feb 2018
Lightweight
VS
36%
Vick
64%
Trinaldo
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Trinaldo
Trinaldo holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Vick has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Vick throws more volume but Trinaldo connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Vick's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Trinaldo has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vick
Trinaldo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
70"
39+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Vick
Trinaldo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
31.7
50.2
Performance Avg
48.6
41
Quality of Victory
35
71
Momentum Score
100
Vick
Trinaldo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
2 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
4
14
Body
6
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance9
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Vick
Trinaldo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vick
Trinaldo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
64
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/18 fights
Chin rating based on
26/37 fights
Vick
Trinaldo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
100
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Vick
Trinaldo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
56%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
2
4
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vick
Trinaldo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.4
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
VickTrinaldo
Strike Zones
Vick
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTrinaldo
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Vick targets the body (70% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Trinaldo targets the body (60% of attacks) — Vick absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vick
RND
Trinaldo
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Vick · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Vick · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Niko PriceRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Joanna vs. Waterson · 2019-10
L · KO · R1
Dan HookerRating 2.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Justin GaethjeRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gaethje vs. Vick · 2018-08
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07