The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale
Las Vegas, USA
21 Jun 2008
Welterweight
VS
70%
Brown
30%
Arroyo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:40
MB
Matt Brown
"The Immortal"
26 – 19
6'0"75" reachOrthodox45 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 43
MA
Matt Arroyo
"No Regard"
3 – 3
Submission Hunter2-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Brown

Brown is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brown's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brown
Arroyo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
75"+
Reach
72"
45
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Brown
Arroyo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
18.3
54.0
Performance Avg
45.7
52
Quality of Victory
54
78
Momentum Score
43
Brown
Arroyo
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.5
60%
Strike Accuracy
56%
8.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
13 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
3
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Brown
Arroyo
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.2
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
2
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Brown
Arroyo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
76
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/45 fights
Chin rating based on
3/6 fights
Brown
Arroyo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
Brown
Arroyo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
100%
13
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brown
Arroyo
Striking8.8 / 0.7Volume2.1 / 0.7Grappling1.2 / 8.0Wrestling0.8 / 5.6Submission1.2 / 10.0Pressure7.9 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Brown
Strike Zones
Arroyo
Brown
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Arroyo
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brown targets the head (82% of attacks) — Arroyo absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Arroyo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brown
RND
Arroyo
0/0R00/0

Brown · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.2W5.5L5.2W5.0W5.5W2.8L2.8L2.8L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.1W5.2W5.2W5.2W5.0W5.2W5.8L5.5L5.1W4.0L1.5L4.0L5.0W5.2W3.3L5.5L5.2W5.9L5.2W2008-062011-062014-052019-122023-05
WinLossTrend

Arroyo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W3.1L5.5L2007-122008-062009-01
WinLossTrend

Brown · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05

Arroyo · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
Dan CramerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 94: St-Pierre vs Penn 2 · 2009-01
L · KO · R2
Matt BrownRating 3.1
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
W · Sub · R1
John KolosciRating 5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12

News & Media

Matt Brown · Matt Arroyo
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