METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
16 Jan 2021
Welterweight
VS
34%
Condit
66%
Brown
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Carlos ConditwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Matt Brown · UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Brown
→
Actual result
Condit wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Brown holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Condit has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Brown has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Brown has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ConditBrown
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Condit
Brown
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
42+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Condit
Brown
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
42.5
47.8
Performance Avg
54.0
48
Quality of Victory
52
20
Momentum Score
78
Condit
Brown
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
1.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
60%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
13 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
4
1
Body
4
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance1
5Clinch3
2Ground4
Condit
Brown
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Condit
Brown
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
30/45 fights
Condit
Brown
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
78
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Condit
Brown
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
88%
4
KO / TKO Wins
13
0
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Condit
Brown
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.8
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.2
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
ConditBrown
Strike Zones
Condit
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedBrown
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the head (83% of attacks) — Brown absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Brown targets the head (50% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Condit
RND
Brown
0/0R00/0
Condit · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Brown · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Condit · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04
Brown · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Court McGeeRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
W · KO · R2
Dhiego LimaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Carlos ConditRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
L · KO · R2
Miguel BaezaRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05